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RICHARD FARMER

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Journalist and wine maker
Articles Posted: 416  Links Seeded: 2421
Member Since: 8/2006  Last Seen: 5/16/2012

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Keeping the climate change score

Fri Dec 4, 2009 2:50 AM EST
world-news, climate-change, scoreboard, copenhagen-conference
By Richard Farmer

Today's carbon reduction scoreboard

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With the Copenhagen talks almost upon us it seems like an appropriate time to launch a scoreboard on how the world is progressing in efforts to limit global warming and the not-for-profit Sustainability Institute has this week done just that. The institute'sClimate Scoreboard was built by SI, the Sloan School of Management at MIT and Ventana Systems and based on the C-ROADS (Climate Rapid Overview and Decision Support) computer simulation. This, in turn, is carefully calibrated to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report results.
C-ROADS emerged from research at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and allows users to input mitigation proposals for China, India, the US, the European Union, and other nations and regions. It then simulates these emissions' impacts on greenhouse gas concentrations, temperature change, per-capita emissions, cumulative emissions, sea level rise and other indicators.
Press the button and, hey presto, we have the score!
Today, in advance of the opening of the Copenhagen Conference, the Climate Scoreboard shows that, while current proposals would reduce warming in 2100 relative to a scenario with no reductions in emissions, proposals are not yet ambitious enough to limit temperature increase to 1.5-2°C (2.7-3.6°F) over pre-industrial temperatures. The scoreboard estimates a temperature increase of 3.8°C (6.8°F) over pre-industrial if current proposals were implemented as compared to 4.8°C (8.7°F) temperature increase by 2100 without emissions reductions.
I have no idea how accurate a gauge this climate scoreboard presents but I sure do know that looking at it every day during Copenhagen as the haggling goes on will beat reading the tens of thousands of words on the subject that are about to descend on us.

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  • Richard Farmer's Column, All of Newsvine
  • Groups: Alternative Energy - Greenvine, Australian Politics, Australian Viners, Climate Change, Why TV News Is Horrible
  • Regions: Copenhagen
  • Public Discussion (2)
Pamela Drew

This is wonderful Richard thank you and thanks to Benno for clipping the finding!!

  • 2 votes
Reply#1 - Thu Dec 17, 2009 11:25 AM EST
tony1234

I have no idea how accurate a gauge this climate scoreboard presents

Most British and european scientists don't believe in this model. Other models don't arrive at this conclusion or that the carbon level will be substantially lower even if we shutdown everything up and return to the stone age. This is just another attempt by the king to put more taxes on us.

I am too tired today to post references, but tomorrow I will.

    Reply#2 - Fri Dec 18, 2009 7:34 PM EST
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