The market guide to the Oscars

The election of Oscar winners is one election where opinion polls are not normally a help. The New York Times did a poll one year of Academy members asking how they voted and it turned out to be very accurate. I remember because I was an internet bookmaker at the time betting on the results and the American early morning risers that Sunday got an advantage over those of us who were slower off the mark. But, to the best of my knowledge, the paper has not gone to the same trouble again so this is an election where we are left to our own devices to predict a result.

The best guide I can offer is what the prediction markets are saying and that is no bad thing. When it comes to politics they tend to do better than the opinion polls anyhow.

So here they are then. The Newsvine election indicators for the Oscars